California's recall election of Governor Gavin Newsom is today! Every registered voter receives a ballot and a return envelope to address two questions. The ballot must be postmarked, dropped off at a polling location, or filled out at a polling place by today. So far, roughly 37% of registered voters have submitted their ballots. The last California recall in 2003 had 61% turnout and passed 55% to 45%. Arnold Schwarzenegger won with 49% of the vote.
(1) Shall Gavin Newsom be recalled (removed) from the office of Governor?
RealClearPolitics:
Question 1: 42% Yes (remove); 56% No (do not remove); 2% Undecided [9/6-9/13]
538:
Question 1: 42% Yes (remove); 57% No (do not remove); 1% Undecided [updated 9/14]
In favor (Yes): CA Libertarian Party; CA Republican Party; House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA); former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA); former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R); Bakersfield Californian; LA Daily News; OC Register
Against (No): CA Democratic Party; CA Green Party; CA Peace and Freedom Party; President Joe Biden (D); Vice President Kamala Harris (D); Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT); Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA); House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA); LA Times; Sacramento Bee; SF Chronicle; ACLU CA; CA Teachers Association; Human Rights Campaign; Planned Parenthood CA
(2) Candidates to succeed Gavin Newsom as Governor if he is recalled
RealClearPolitics:
Question 2: 35% Larry Elder (R); 8% Kevin Paffrath (D); 5% Kevin Faulconer (R); 5% John Cox (R); 3% Kevin Kiley (R); 3% Jacqueline McGowan (D); 3% John Drake (D); 2% Brandon Ross (D); 2% Caitlyn Jenner (R); 34% Other/Undecided/Blank [9/6-9/13]
538:
Question 2: 30% Larry Elder (R); 6% Kevin Paffrath (D); 5% Kevin Faulconer (R); 59% Other/Undecided/Blank [updated 9/14]
Blank: a strategy endorsed by the CA Democratic Party
Larry Elder (R): a radio show host endorsed by the American Independent Party, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R), former State Senate Majority Leader Gloria Romero (D-CA), Westminster Mayor Tri Ta, actor Clint Eastwood, Long Beach Press-Telegram, and OC Register
Kevin Paffrath (D): a real estate broker with a popular YouTube channel
Kevin Faulconer (R): a former Mayor of San Diego endorsed by Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA), State Assembly Minority Leader Marie Waldron (R-Escondido), State Senate Minority Leader Scott Wilk (R-Santa Clarita), Bakersfield Californian, Los Angeles Times, Crime Victims United, and San Diego Chamber of Commerce
John Cox (R): a businessman who ran against Governor Newsom in the 2018 gubernatorial race
Kevin Kiley (R): a State Assemblyman of Rocklin endorsed by former Rep. Doug Ose (R-CA) and blog RedState
Jacqueline McGowan (D): a Napa cannabis advocate who polled 5% two separate times during August
John Drake (D): a 20-year-old Latvian immigrant in Ventura
Brandon Ross (D): a physician-attorney from the San Diego area
Caitlyn Jenner (R): a media celebrity and former Olympian assisted by former White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer and Trump 2020 campaign manager Brad Parscale
Others:
Dan Kapelovitz (G): a criminal law attorney endorsed by the CA Green Party and former Santa Monica Mayor Mike Feinstein (G)
Jeff Hewitt (L): a Riverside County Board of Supervisor endorsed by the CA Libertarian Party
